Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 20.414743 23.740318 27.724225 32.936456 39.713523 48.433844 60.871078
2025-02-09 15.817677 19.498747 24.328638 31.371783 41.841685 57.715476 85.737064
2025-02-16 14.033202 18.021948 23.610898 32.465707 47.156297 72.957957 129.527290
2025-02-23 12.485242 16.494206 22.377909 32.286499 50.191300 85.772686 181.581459
2025-03-02 11.313219 15.285414 21.337091 32.060346 52.934938 99.479148 255.014377
2025-03-09 10.512282 14.498664 20.786416 32.483211 57.007132 118.822088 387.652708
2025-03-16 9.564289 13.362953 19.488182 31.248762 57.169900 128.485137 513.217376
2025-03-23 8.957778 12.696602 18.876083 31.177293 59.933278 148.148839 797.491730
2025-03-30 8.207920 11.724910 17.616862 29.583827 58.514202 153.249449 1018.828166
2025-04-06 7.515894 10.793216 16.334343 27.745116 55.984870 152.904663 1206.219194
2025-04-13 6.966312 10.059090 15.338601 26.369644 54.360531 155.501209 1513.866120
2025-04-20 7.133264 10.538418 16.590380 30.049661 68.232990 245.337555 12621.069393
2025-04-27 6.984258 10.479783 16.867249 31.716074 77.515326 340.356138 NaN
2025-05-04 6.504770 9.802173 15.874202 30.167194 75.336660 352.512153 NaN
2025-05-11 6.331828 9.658326 15.920364 31.204388 83.132055 478.448233 NaN
2025-05-18 6.060925 9.314940 15.525207 31.034955 86.289911 578.326861 NaN
2025-05-25 5.810603 8.991526 15.138943 30.821484 89.266921 701.636794 NaN
2025-06-01 5.632352 8.789326 14.985876 31.220635 95.345998 944.450234 NaN
2025-06-08 5.344208 8.362508 14.316945 30.055023 93.448192 1008.410381 NaN
2025-06-15 5.162496 8.127276 14.042382 29.987502 97.151623 1297.192323 NaN
2025-06-22 4.886523 7.697679 13.312897 28.481031 92.677898 1267.933621 NaN
2025-06-29 4.609069 7.254371 12.529844 26.740147 86.494562 1144.959818 NaN
2025-07-06 4.379093 6.893923 11.911262 25.436006 82.402114 1099.970244 NaN